The Electoral Parsing Switches From Debate Scoring to Cold, Hard Cash
Screen Shot 2015-10-15 at 6.56.32 AMMAGGIE HABERMAN  Thursday, October 15, 2015 

 

Good Thursday morning. As Tuesdays Democratic debate brought some new texture to the contest, so, too, will Thursday nights filing deadlines, when the candidates must reveal their campaigns financial particulars. Though many with significant hauls have already released the amounts theyve brought in, Jeb Bush is not among them, bringing up questions about potential fund-raising concerns and the kinds of whispers that love to fill such silence.

In the next 17 hours, the contours of both presidential nominating contests will become clearer.

The campaign finance filings for the third fund-raising quarter of the year are due by midnight. They will contain not just how much was raised from whom, but exactly how much money each campaign had in the bank as of Sept. 30.

Though many other teams have released their numbers, Mr. Bush’s campaign has not yet said how much it had raised, or how much it still has in the bank. But officials with the campaign, which put in place a series of budget-cutting measures over the summer after heavy spending early on, said that Mr. Bush planned to simultaneously release his medical records and the list of his bundlers. The extra effort toward transparency could also help obscure any less-than-positive news in his numbers.

The filings will also reveal how much each campaign has spent, and on what.
For some perspective, Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee in 2012, was one of two potential establishment prospects, along with Rick Perry, who raised just over $14 million in the third quarter of 2011. Ben Carson, the former neurosurgeon and first-time candidate, has already outpaced that figure from grass-roots donors.
But other than Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, who raised about $12 million, and perhaps Mr. Bush, no one else in the field is poised to come close to what Mr. Romney raised. For instance, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, who is catching the eye of some undecided donors, reported raising $6 million.
The amounts the candidates have in the bank, and what they have already invested in, are useful indicators of how far they may be able to take their campaigns.
The filings will show how much Hillary Rodham Clinton and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont have spent. And Martin OMalley, who has been stuck in low single digits in the polls but who is hoping for a late break in the Iowa caucuses, has not said what he has raised.